31 December 2025•
GCC startups raised US$4.05 billion year-to-date as of November 2025, essentially flat on 2024 (−0.3%), while deal volume fell to 321 (−31.8% YoY). The average ticket hit a record US$12.6M (vs US$8.6M in 2024) as capital concentrates in fewer, larger rounds. November captured this mix perfectly: one mega-round (≥US$100M) cleared—Erad’s US$125M debt financing—while the mid-market stayed quiet. Month on month, YTD value added roughly US$280M (US$3.77B → US$4.05B) across 33 more deals (288 → 321), but most of that incremental flow arrived via debt or structured capital rather than pure equity.
Macro conditions continue to bias investors toward proof and profitability. With higher-for-longer rates and a narrow exit window outside a few national champions, sovereign-linked vehicles, family offices, and corporates are writing selective checks—often debt/quasi-debt—to scale winners in priority sectors. Liquidity isn’t scarce; risk tolerance is. Expect late-stage, strategically aligned plays to keep clearing while seed and early Series A stretch timelines and rely on bridges.
Founder takeaway. Late-stage teams with revenue and regulatory clarity can still command capital; earlier stages should plan for staged milestones, longer cycles, and optionality on bridges.
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